Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 21.915809 25.247436 28.839683 32.991628 37.648586 42.701030 48.587294
2025-09-28 15.740014 20.249076 25.571357 32.271993 40.433497 49.999710 62.004407
2025-10-05 13.331419 18.664354 25.404339 34.442059 46.123560 60.581795 79.680724
2025-10-12 11.575467 17.404202 25.202503 36.212762 51.139085 70.425650 96.941157
2025-10-19 9.843216 15.801965 24.197760 36.611298 54.162348 77.704370 111.200021
2025-10-26 8.441578 14.401371 23.207635 36.783566 56.712463 84.340926 124.846613
2025-11-02 7.163840 12.962309 21.929852 36.311675 58.177247 89.429274 136.521743
2025-11-09 6.082059 11.651734 20.651435 35.636611 59.181814 93.801313 147.302702
2025-11-16 5.165352 10.465270 19.401551 34.826438 59.831311 97.588828 157.330323
2025-11-23 4.310830 9.246643 17.934506 33.478824 59.465972 99.741574 164.940561
2025-11-30 3.978449 8.936942 17.971049 34.602283 63.088628 108.143147 182.381526
2025-12-07 3.684927 8.655161 18.015155 35.719290 66.743647 116.753424 200.525788
2025-12-14 3.173352 7.888416 17.145854 35.257670 67.905273 121.773152 213.840474
2025-12-21 2.670180 7.056333 16.060111 34.315249 68.206532 125.494198 225.453437
2025-12-28 2.564596 7.083180 16.658926 36.570089 74.309013 139.183288 254.013804
2026-01-04 2.426616 7.009801 17.039635 38.428504 79.810430 152.139346 281.980625
2026-01-11 2.177784 6.622791 16.711740 38.846942 82.667441 160.684286 302.931093
2026-01-18 1.941572 6.220063 16.293445 39.028059 85.066122 168.526080 323.022041
2026-01-25 1.688802 5.720458 15.588748 38.531413 86.099661 173.961624 339.164806
2026-02-01 1.457063 5.226704 14.825981 37.820893 86.634770 178.487388 353.877164
2026-02-08 1.249296 4.752931 14.040554 36.968048 86.796065 182.297014 367.443929
2026-02-15 1.043061 4.230939 13.055382 35.549141 85.663947 183.586884 376.464761
2026-02-22 0.979887 4.151706 13.191398 36.732061 90.049293 195.562712 405.564411